ESPN features an ACC tilt on Thursday night football when the North Carolina Tar Heels invade Blacksburg Virginia, to engage in battle with the Virginia Tech Hokies.
The college football point-spreads for week 12 opened with the Hokies listed as 10.5 point favorites and despite the fact that 70% of the public betting money is on the home team, this line has yet to move at some of the top rated online sportsbooks.
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North Carolina comes limping into this game off a bye. They could not enjoy the downtime as they lost the week prior to the North Carolina State Wolfpack. There was no excuse to drop this game as the offense was pitiful and they could not rush the ball. They had several key turnovers and this game did not even get close.
Virginia Tech on the other hand seems to be getting better as the year goes on. Frank Beamer is winning with defense and a solid rushing game. David Wilson leads the team on the ground with over 1300 yards and seven touchdowns on the season. The Hokies are in charge of the Coastal Division and maintains a one-game lead over Virginia. Next week they will go up against Virginia in what could be a battle for the division, which sets up an interesting look-ahead trap for Virginia Tech.
Virginia Tech recently defeated the top ranked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. That was a very big win against a top ranked team, and now they have a big game against Virginia to end the season. That game could decide the division and is a bitter in-state rivalry. Virginia Tech is 6-1 against North Carolina since the Hokies joined the ACC in 2004, including a 26-10 victory last year. That is a bad recipe for football bettors that want to back the favorite.
This line is the key and Oddsmakers have kept it over the key number of ten points to keep the public from overloading the game. The Hokies have been a bad bet all year long.
The Hokies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite, and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. Meanwhile the Heels respond after a bad outing. The Tar Heels are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game, 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.
The Heels use their bye weeks wisely and will get back a healthy Bryn Renner at quarterback and will keep this game close enough to take the points.
College Football Picks and Predictions For Week 12