The LSU Tigers are the talk of the town. They are one of a few teams that are ranked atop the college football rankings and have a chance to play for the National Championship. The BCS rankings is the yardstick to measure successful college football teams and LSU will play a role in the BCS bowl games at the end of the year.
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In week seven of the college football season, the Tigers travel to Knoxville to take on the Tennessee Volunteers. The Tigers defense is NFL-caliber and it seems like they can stop any offense that they match up against.
The latest college football point spreads for week seven were posted and the LSU tigers opened as 13 point favorites. This is not surprising as the Tigers should defeat the Vols handedly, right? The betting public thinks so. Over 90% of the early betting money coming in to offshore sportsbooks is on the road team in this SEC show down. This money flow has pushed this line over the key number and it now sets at 15 and it could rise higher before kickoff.
Truth be told, although the Tigers have more talent than Tennessee this is a letdown spot for the top ranked team. The Tigers are 6-18 against the spread (ATS) in their last 24 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater, 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a win of more than 20 points and 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a win in which they covered the number.
Football bettors that have backed the Vols have been paid handsomely. The Volunteers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater, 4-1-1 ATS in their last six conference games, and 7-2-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The underdog is 4-1-2 ATS in their last seven meetings and this game will be closer than most experts think.
Tennessee coach Derek Dooley has this game circled after losing a close one a year ago. In a controversial ending, the Vols ended up losing against LSU and now with the game at home, will expect to win on the field. That may be setting the bar high, but the Vols have a quality signal caller on the field in Tyler Bray. He has yet to get a win over an SEC team and will use the running prowess of Tauren Poole to try and attack this LSU defense.
Les Miles is playing a dual quarterback system by using Jarrett Lee and Jordan Jefferson. This could haunt him in this game as the Tigers will need to have consistency on offense to pull away and cover this number.
The Vols come to play and leave it all on the field and the only way to play this game is to take the points.