The big news in the NFL this week is that Tim Tebow will finally get a start under center for the Denver Broncos. Tebow returns to the state where he gained notoriety by winning as a member of the Florida Gators. In fact his college team will be honored during the game between the Broncos and the Dolphins, yet another reason Tebow could have a banner day.  Everyone is counting out Miami in this game, but I believe they will win and win so convincingly that I am making them my lock of the week in the NFL.

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The Dolphins are sick of losing and are not as bad as their record indicates. The stories of Miami being in the running for Stanford quarterback Andrew Luck is starting to bother the players. The only way to stop this talk is to start wining and this is as good as a chance as ever.

Head Coach Tony Sporano still has a job because he can still motivate the team and get them to play hard. Leading up to this game all the talk will be about Tebow and that will be enough to rile up this Dolphins squad.

Denver will be easy to read on offense as the ball will go through Willis McGahee at running back and when Tebow passes, he could also run the ball. The Dolphins have the corners to play one-on-one on the outside and allow the linebackers to roam and confuse Tebow.

Brandon Marshall will be very excited to play against his former team and will have a monster game with at least one trip to the end zone. Daniel Thomas is emerging as a superstar out of the backfield and Matt Moore is adjusting just fine at quarterback.

The Broncos have a bevy of NFL trends that suggest a play against this team. The Broncos are 15-33 ATS in their last 48 games following a loss against the spread, 18-37-2 ATS in their last 57 games against the AFC, 16-33-3 ATS against a team with a losing record, and 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games. The Dolphins may not have great sports trends in their favor, but they have the advantage on the field.

The Dolphins need to get in the win column and they have the advantage this week. The majority of the public betting money is backing Tim Tebow and the Broncos, but don’t be fooled. The Miami Dolphins win big and they are the NFL lock of the week.

NFL Lock Week 7: Miami Dolphins -3

NFL Picks Week 7:

Green Bay vs. Minnesota

Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders

Pittsburgh Steelers at Arizona Cardinals

St. Louis Rams at Dallas Cowboys

Denver Broncos at Miami Dolphins