NFL Pick Week 9: New York Giants vs. New England Patriots
The NFL schedule for week nine is highlight by the New York Giants visiting Foxboro Massachusetts to take on the New England Patriots. The Giants come into this game with five wins on the season but still lack the respect from many of the NFL experts.
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The Patriots enter this game off a tough loss at the hands of the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Patriots will have the luxury of playing this game at home and that has the odds makers believing the Pats will rebound with a big win.
The NFL odds for week nine opened with the Patriots favored as 8.5 points in this game. Just 52% of the public consensus is on the Patriots, yet the line has already been bet up to 10 in some online sportsbooks. It will be interesting to see if this line crosses the key number of ten before kickoff.
Tom Brady and the Patriots are one of the most explosive offenses in football. Brady has a full stable of weapons to include Wes Welker, and Aaron Hernandez. Moving the ball has not been a problem for this team, but if the Pats have a weak spot it’s on defense. Bill Belichick has worked to switch and retool the defense, but the inability to stop offenses on 3rd downs is what hurt them against Pittsburgh.
Now the face a New York Giants team that is underrated. Eli Manning is only behind Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady when it comes to quarterback rating. Like Brady, the Giants have some talent on wide receiver led by the emerging Victor Cruz who is quickly becoming a favorite target for Manning. The Giants defense has a few weaknesses in the secondary, but a vicious pass rush will help protect the secondary.
The Giants have had some letdown moments on the season, most notably the game against the Seattle Seahawks. However this team will be ready for this game.
When it comes to NFL betting trends, the Giants are 4-1 against the number in the last five meetings. The Giants are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 road games when playing a team with a winning home record and 29-13 ATS in their last 42 road games overall.
NFL Team Trend of The Game: Using the extensive database at NFL Team Trends I found this interesting tidbit about the Giants. From 2006-2011 when the Giants are road underdogs they are 13-01 (56%) ATS and when you add in the fact that the Giants are off a win in their last game the Giants are an eye-opening 10-3 ATS (76.92%).
The Patriots could very well lose this game at home. The Patriots will be one of the most popular teams placed in a teaser, but buyers beware.
It’s understandable to believe the Pats will rebound since they have been such a dominant team in the past, but this is a different team. The odds makers are still posting lines based on those teams and it will catch up with Patriot backers at the betting window.
The Giants keep this game very close and could upset the Patriots.