The NFL picks for week 14 will focus on the Thursday night game on the NFL network between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cleveland Browns.
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At first glance it is easy to see that the Pittsburgh Steelers are the better team and that they deserve to be 14 point favorites, but from a betting perspective, this game deserves another look.
The NFL week 14 opening odds had the Pittsburgh Steelers listed as 13.5 point favorites but as expected this line blew up when 81% of the early betting money came in on the Steelers. This line is now as high as 15.5 at some offshore sportsbooks!
If there is one thing that sports bettors have learned this season about the Pittsburgh Steelers is that they play down to their opponent and they look past weaker opponents. This is the same team that barely beat the Colts by three points, the Jaguars by four points, and the Chiefs by four points. Now they have a game with San Francisco next on the schedule, and they will be looking forward to playing a ten win team over a lowly opponent like the Browns.
The Browns are in a state of flux, but will get up for a prime time TV game against the Steelers. Quarterback Colt McCoy is banged up, but if Seneca Wallace plays that may actually help the Browns, by injecting new blood into the lineup. After a shaky start to the season, Peyton Hillis is back and will start this game.
This game will be a bigger deal for the Browns than it would be for the Steelers and the public will be pounding Pittsburgh. Look for a letdown in this game and the Steelers to let the Browns keep this game closer than it should ever be.