NFL Picks Week 7: Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders
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When news of the trade broke, the latest NFL odds were affected. The line opened with the Raiders listed as 3.5 point favorites and 66% of the betting public was backing the silver and black. The spread has since moved towards the home team and is sitting at four points.
The Raiders are the headline and Carson Palmer will start this week against the Chiefs. This is a stunning blow to any of the backup quarterbacks that Palmer can come right in and start under center for the Silver and Black. The Raiders are a very good team and the trade for Palmer, should benefit them in the near future, but not this week.
It is too early to expect big things from Palmer. He has a limited grasp on the offense and no chemistry with any of the current wide-outs. The Raiders will rely on Darren McFadden to run the rock and present an obvious game plan to the Chiefs.
Kansas City is coming off of a bye week and has had extra time to prepare for this contest. With the slow start, the Chiefs need to win divisional games if they have any chance of staying in the hunt for a playoff spot. The Chiefs have found a new running back to carry the offense in Jackie Battle and Matt Cassel is getting more and more comfortable in the new offense.
The Raiders have some horrible NFL betting trends that could hurt them in this game. The Raiders are 3-12 against the spread (ATS) in their last 15 games as a home favorite, 16-34-1 ATS against a team with a losing record, and 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games as a favorite. The Chiefs are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games against a team with a winning home record, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog, and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The Chiefs clamp down in this game and respond well after the bye, catching a Raiders team in the middle of transition.
NFL Picks Week 7: