The NFL Network will begin showing games this week on Thursday night as the Oakland Raiders and the San Diego Chargers will meet up in an AFC West showdown.
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The opening NFL Odds for week ten have the San Diego Chargers favored by seven points. Since the opening that line has been bet down to 6.5 in some places by smart money. This is evident of smart money because over 70% of the public is backing the Bolts at home. This means big money had to move the line in this game and the sharps are betting on the silver and black.
This game becomes vital in a jam-packed AFC West that has three teams deadlocked at 4-4 in first place to include the Chiefs, Chargers, and the Raiders. Philip Rivers and the Chargers looked as though they might pull off the upset against the Packers, but instead Rivers fired several interceptions to pass the game away.
The Raiders played their first game with Carson Palmer starting and although he performed admirably it wasn’t enough for the Silver and Black to get the win. Tim Tebow and the Denver Broncos raced to victory, giving the Raiders just a short week to recover.
When investigating for NFL Trends for this game, I went to the best NFL Trends website. This is a complete database of trends for every team in the NFL and it allows you to input your own parameters in search of trends. Using NFL Trends I came up with these gems for this game.
The Raiders have been very profitable road dogs as they have cashed at 24-18-1 (55%) as road underdogs since 2006. When the Raiders are a road underdog after playing a game as a home favorite they are 6-4, cashing at 60%.
NFL Trends revealed some good information on the Chargers as well. Since 2006 the Chargers are home against the AFC and were underdogs in their last game they are just 3-6 (33%) against the spread. When they lost the last game the number drops to 1-4 (20%) against the number.
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The Raiders may have lost their last game, but they always struggle after the bye. Palmer looked comfortable in the offense and did not get to use the assets of tight end Kevin Boss and wide receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey who will both see some more time on the field.
The Chargers are slowly self-destructing. Rivers is throwing interceptions that have been costing his team and putting the defense in a short field position. They could be infighting as well as Michal Silver quotes a Chargers team source as saying that long-time tight end Antonio Gates now looks "old and fat." With a mole on the inside and this kind of thing getting out, it can’t be pretty in the locker room.
The Chargers are just not playing good football and although they are trying to break a losing streak, it just seems too high for this game. The Raiders will be focused after losing to Denver and they will be able to keep this game within the number.