NFL Week 15 Picks Against the Spread: Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Thursday night NFL game for week 15 features the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Atlanta Falcons.
I nailed the Monday Night Football game and am ready to hit another prime time game on Thursday.
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The NFL Network may have thought this game was much better on paper when the schedule came out. Now in week 15 of the NFL schedule, fans will tune into see a talented Falcon team against a rebuilding Jaguars club.
The NFL week 15 odds for this game opened with the Falcons as 11 point favorites. As expected the early betting money came in on the birds and this line has jumped to 12.5 at several online sportsbooks. This line could easily be close to two touchdowns by the time it kicks off.
The Atlanta Falcons are making a run at the playoffs and this game becomes a must win for the franchise. They have to focus on this game as they have a thriller against the New Orleans Saints next up on the schedule.
The Falcons, when healthy have a deadly offense. The key to this offense is the running game of Michael Turner. If Turner can run and open up holes, it allows for Matt Ryan to set up the pass and utilize all of his weapons. On Thursday the Falcons will face a Jaguars team in disarray.
The Jaguars have an interim coach and a rookie quarterback, but they are playing competitive football. Maurice Jones-Drew is the main man in this offense and it was evident in the win against Tampa Bay when he found the end zone four times. Blaine Gabbert has managed games well enough to win using a strong running game to keep his team on the move and letting the defense do the rest.
The Jaguars defense has been over looked all season. They rank highly in the NFL total defense category and have a very good turnover ratio. That is exactly what made the difference last week against the Buccaneers and if they have a similar outing this game, they have a decent shot of keeping this game close.
The Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater, which shows that they don’t often get blown out when they getting points in the NFL. The Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater and struggle to cover the big number. The Jaguars can control the clock with the running game and the defense will keep them in it.
The Falcons have one eye on the game with the Saints and are on upset alert.