The NFL invades Saturday night with a prime time battle between the Dallas Cowboys and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This has been an interesting season for both of these teams as they have failed to meet the lofty expectations set forth before the season started.
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The NFL week 15 football odds on this game opened with the Cowboys as 6.5 point favorites. This line has been bet up to eight points at some offshore sportsbooks as the public is pounding the Dallas Cowboys. This is because of the popularity of the Cowboys and the rapid decline of the Buccaneers.
There is no doubting the Buccaneers failures, but what should be noted is that the Cowboys have had some serious trouble finishing football games. Last week they blew a 12-point lead to the New York Giants in a crucial divisional game. The Cowboys have had a very difficult season with last-minute loses to teams that could have beaten. In fact the Cowboys have blown more double digit leads in the fourth quarter than they have in the history of the franchise. This has been due to various reasons to include bad defense, faulty quarterback play, and horrible coaching calls. Although the Cowboys are the better team on paper, it is a bit surprising to me that they are decent-sized favorites.
The Buccaneers had a great season a year ago and narrowly missed the playoffs. They expected to have a similar season, if not better, but instead they have faltered. Part of the reason for the decline is that the play of quarterback Josh Freeman has been sketchy at best. Freeman has not shown the promise he has in the past and at times has cost his team a victory with costly turnovers. A win for the Buccaneers would be a good sign for the future as they are the only game on tap for Saturday night.
The Cowboys are in a tough sandwich spot. They just lost the big divisional game to the Giants and host the Eagles after this game with the Bucs. With the NFC East still up for grabs they will be looking past this game. The Cowboys also have a bevy of NFL Betting trends that oppose them in this game.
The Cowboys are 7-18-2 ATS in their last 27 games in December, 0-5 ATS in their last five against the NFC and 0-4 ATS in their last four games overall. As a favorite the Cowboys have been a risky proposition. The Cowboys are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite, 17-36-2 ATS in their last 55 games as a road favorite, and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0. The Cowboys are infamous for blowing leads, so expecting them to cover almost a touchdown on the road is asking just too much.
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